The current standoff between Imran Khan and the military in Pakistan, although somewhat unique, is unlikely to result in more than regime change and a partial reduction in the military's political influence.
While this development may have long-term significance, the real crisis lies in the lack of alternative visions for development and the enduring stability of the existing elite-driven model. Over the past six decades, Pakistani elites and the international development establishment have remained committed to a singular vision of replicating the industrialized North, aiming to transform Pakistan into the "next Asian Tiger" through top-down modernization.
Under this model, the focus is on increasing production and consumption, primarily driven by large infrastructure projects and cash-crop agriculture for export. However, this approach has come at a severe social and ecological cost. The heavy reliance on fossil fuels and private capital, coupled with the disregard for local knowledge and ecological patterns, has led to devastating consequences. While some improvements in living standards have been achieved, such as access to electricity and transportation, the failures have been far more significant, with events like the floods in 2010 and 2022 highlighting the negative impact of this development trajectory.
The floods, blamed on global heating by Pakistan's Ministry of Climate Change and COP27 delegation, are also a result of the physical, social, and political outcomes of decades of development. Examples include hydrological engineering projects that disrupt natural water flows, violate environmental and social standards, and increase flood risks. The Left Bank Outfall Drain in Sindh and the Chashma Right Bank Canal in Southern Punjab are two projects that have faced criticism for exacerbating flooding in their respective areas. Despite valid claims and recommendations for corrective measures, the government has failed to address these issues, leaving communities vulnerable to the consequences of hubris and complacency.
It is ironic that Pakistani officials now advocate for climate assistance funds while neglecting loss and damage caused within their own borders. This reveals a contradiction in their stance on justice and accountability. The root of the problem lies in the entrenched mentality of Pakistani water managers and decision-makers, who remain committed to mega-projects influenced by colonial thinking. This obsession with large-scale infrastructure, such as canal systems, dams, and airports, persists even when the state lacks financial resources.
Pakistan urgently needs a new plan that prioritizes the well-being of its population without externalizing costs to the environment or marginalized communities. Unfortunately, there is a lack of alternative visions among those in power, progressive intellectuals, and even the anticapitalist left, who may critique the current model but lack the capacity to offer viable alternatives. While better ways of organizing and managing societies may exist, they remain unknown at present.
Looking to Latin America, we find examples of imaginative and experimental approaches to development. While concerns about scalability and romanticizing indigeneity are valid, the key takeaway is the necessity of shifting our thinking to align with the planet and incorporating the knowledge and experiences of local communities. The focus should be on breaking free from the notion that there is no alternative to capitalist industrialization, mega-projects, and the exploitation of the planet for profit and pleasure.
Ultimately, the identity of the next government, whether it's led by Imran Khan or Shahbaz Sharif, is less important than challenging and transforming the prevailing development paradigm. Pakistan must move away from growth-oriented development that perpetuates ecological and social degradation, making it increasingly challenging to sustain a decent quality of life. Embracing a new vision and reevaluating our relationship with the planet is crucial for the country's future.

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